empty
21.12.2023 01:12 PM
Forecast for EUR/USD on December 21, 2021

The EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, consolidating below the corrective level of 61.8% (1.0960). Thus, the downward process may continue toward the next Fibonacci level of 50.0% (1.0862). I support the scenario of further decline in the pair, as, judging by the waves, the trend seems to be shifting towards the "bearish" side. However, a firm hold above the level of 1.0960 will indicate that bulls are not ready to retreat fully and may attempt to resume growth towards the level of 1.1035.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave situation is becoming clearer and more favorable. The last downward wave turned out to be relatively weak (compared to the previous upward wave), and the current upward wave has every chance of not surpassing the peak of the previous wave (from December 14). If this scenario unfolds, we will have the first sign of completing the "bullish" trend. In this case, a decline towards the level of 1.0862 should begin, which may only be the start of a prolonged "bearish" trend. This is the scenario I am currently counting on.

On Wednesday, there were a few interesting events in the European Union and the United States. The only U.S. report on the number of new home sales showed a value slightly higher than traders expected for November. However, this report is unimportant, and traders' reactions were practically nonexistent. Thus, this week, I can highlight only two events. The first one is the inflation report in the European Union, which showed a final decrease in November to 2.4% y/y, and the U.S. GDP report for the third quarter, which will be released today in the second half of the day.

As with European inflation, the report on economic growth in the U.S. may not cause a strong reaction. This is not the first estimate of the indicator for the third quarter, and traders are prepared to see +5.2% q/q. If today's report shows a higher or lower value, then bulls or bears will receive minor support. But overall, this week's information background is quite weak, with important reports coming only from the United Kingdom. By the end of the week, trader activity may be relatively low, but I still expect a decline in the pair toward the level of 1.0862. This target already looks quite attractive.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair rose to the corrective level of 50.0% (1.0957). A firm consolidation of the pair's rate above this level allows counting on further growth towards the next Fibonacci level of 38.2% at 1.1032. Reconsolidation below 1.0957 will again favor the U.S. currency and a fall to the lower line of the ascending trend corridor, which still characterizes traders' sentiment as "bullish." I expect a significant decline in the euro only after consolidating below the ascending trend corridor. Still, even under the current circumstances, a decline towards the lower line of the corridor looks promising. There are no apparent divergences with any indicator today.

Forecast for EUR/USD and trader advice:

What advice can be given to traders today? The rise of the European currency is unlikely. The continuation of the "bullish" trend is also unlikely. The information background could be stronger; the economic events calendar for the EU and the U.S. is practically empty, and traders will find it difficult to find new reasons for buying. Thus, a resumption of the decline towards the level of 1.0862 is likely. A consolidation below the level of 1.0960 can be considered for selling the pair. I consider purchases today impractical and too risky."

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Ramalan EUR/USD untuk 14 Mac, 2025

Euro telah menurun untuk hari ketiga berturut-turut, bermula dari penurunan pada hari Jumaat, ketika ia mencari sokongan untuk penstabilan atau pembetulan. Semasa pembetulan ini, penarikan semula mungkin boleh mencecah hingga

Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Ramalan GBP/USD untuk 14 Mac 2025

Pada hari Rabu, pound British jatuh sebanyak 12 pip, menyebabkan garis isyarat pengayun Marlin turun di bawah paras sokongan 0.0216. Ini meningkatkan peluang harga menguji julat 1.2816 hingga 1.2847 sebelum

Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Ramalan USD/JPY untuk 14 Mac, 2025

Garis isyarat pengayun Marlin terus meningkat dalam saluran menaiknya dan semakin menghampiri peralihan ke zon positif. Tanda-tanda pembetulan mendalam mula muncul, yang berpotensi mendorong pertumbuhan ke paras sasaran 151.30. Sasaran

Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Isyarat Dagangan untuk EMAS (XAU/USD) bagi 13-15 Mac, 2025: jual di bawah $2,950 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

Pada awal sesi Amerika, emas didagangkan sekitar 2,946, hampir dengan paras tertinggi sepanjang masa 2,956 dan melebihi tahap Murray 7/8, meskipun menunjukkan tanda-tanda keletihan. Pembetulan teknikal mungkin berlaku dalam beberapa

Dimitrios Zappas 13:49 2025-03-13 UTC+2

GBP/USD. 13 Mac. Inflasi U.S. Memburukkan Keadaan Bagi Dolar

Pada carta setiap jam, pasangan GBP/USD meneruskan pergerakan meningkat ke arah tahap anjakan Fibonacci sebanyak 127.2% pada 1.3003 pada hari Rabu. Kenaikan itu lemah, dan kenaikan harga gagal mencapai sasaran

Samir Klishi 11:16 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Analisis Petunjuk: Semakan Harian untuk GBP/USD pada 13 Mac 2025

Analisis Trend (Rajah 1): Pada hari Khamis, pasaran mungkin mula bergerak ke bawah dari tahap 1.2959 (penutupan harian semalam) menuju ke 1.2924 – tahap penarikan semula 14.6% (garis putus-putus kuning)

Stefan Doll 09:45 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Analisis Penunjuk untuk EUR/USD pada 13 Mac 2025

Pada hari Khamis, pasaran mungkin terus bergerak ke bawah dari 1.0886 (penutupan harian semalam) menuju 1.0861 – tahap pengunduran Fibonacci 14.6% (garis putus-putus biru). Dari tahap ini, kemungkinan kenaikan semula

Stefan Doll 09:25 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Pasangan Mata Wang Bersilang GBP/AUD, Khamis 13 Mac, 2025.

Jika kita melihat pada carta 4 jam pasangan mata wang silang GBP/AUD, tampaknya corak Harmonik AB=CD telah muncul, terutama dengan sokongan penunjuk Pengayun Stochastic yang berhasil menembusi di bawah

Arief Makmur 09:15 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Intraday Indeks Nasdaq 100, Khamis 13 Mac 2025.

Dengan pergerakan harga indeks Nasdaq 100 yang kini berada di bawah MA (50) serta kemunculan Perbezaan antara indeks Nasdaq 100 dan penunjuk Pengayun Stochastic, ia telah mengesahkan bahawa #NDX masih

Arief Makmur 09:15 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Ramalan EUR/USD untuk 13 Mac 2025

Data inflasi AS semalam menunjukkan perlambatan pada bulan Februari, dengan Indeks Harga Pengguna (CPI) teras meningkat 2.8% tahun ke tahun berbanding 3.0% pada Januari, yang juga melebihi jangkaan 2.9%. Namun

Laurie Bailey 04:13 2025-03-13 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.